Critical Infrastructure Resilience and Civil Preparedness: EU and NATO approaches

Clara Cotroneo

Alexandru Georgescu

Keywords: crisis preparedness, civilian preparedness, critical infrastructure, cyber-attack, resilience


Abstract

Following three subsequent attacks against EU Member States’ critical infrastructures (CIs) in the Baltic Sea in late 2024, NATO urged its member countries to think about conflict preparedness. In early 2025, while debating the risks and consequences of attacks against EU CIs, the European Parliament urged Member States to consider how to prepare for the worst-case scenario, considering the rising geopolitical tensions and Russia’s hybrid attacks against EU CIs. In absence of its own defence capabilities, the EU depends heavily on NATO for military defence. While the military Alliance considers civil preparedness a central pillar of its members’ resilience in the face of conflict and an enabler for collective defence, EU Member States’ degree of civil preparedness has been evaluated as inadequate. Yet, former Finnish President considers civil preparedness as a citizens’ right and Sweden has already distributed booklets, across the country’s households, on what to do in case of war. This paper compares the civil preparedness policy frameworks and capabilities of the EU and NATO, in case of CI failure during conflict. It identifies points of convergence, divergence, complementarities and synergies to assess the degree to which the EU is adequately equipped to respond and recover from cyber-attacks against CIs and mitigate their impacts on the civilian population. The discussion focuses on the current weaknesses of the EU’s framework and capacities and provides guidance on how to integrate the governance of CI resilience within civil preparedness and crisis management frameworks.


References

Jacuch, Andrzej. "Security and defense challenges–civil preparedness in NATO." Scientific Journal of the Military University of Land Forces 52, no. 2 (196 (2020): 270-280.

Duguin, Stéphane, and Pavlina Pavlova. "The role of cyber in the Russian war against Ukraine: Its impact and the consequences for the future of armed conflict." Policy Department for External Relations Directorate General for External Policies of the Union. https://www. europarl. europa. eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2023/702594/EXPO_BRI (2023) 702594_EN. pdf (2023).

European Commission (2024) “Safer together: Strengthening Europe’s civilian and military preparedness and readiness”, Report by Sauli Niinistö, former President of the Republic of Finland in its capacity as special adviser of the President of the European Commission.

European Commission (2025). Joint Communication To The European Parliament, The European Council, The Council, The European Economic And Social Committee And The Committee Of The Regions On The European Preparedness Union Strategy. Join/2025/130 Final

European Commission Communication From The Commission To The European Parliament, The Council, The European Economic And Social Committee And The Committee Of The Regions Eu Stockpiling Strategy: Boosting The Eu's Material Preparedness For Crises

European Commission (2024) “Safer together: Strengthening Europe’s civilian and military preparedness and readiness”, Report by Sauli Niinistö, former President of the Republic of Finland in its capacity as special adviser of the President of the European Commission

European Commission: Secretariat-General, EU Preparedness Union Strategy, Publications Office of the European Union, 2025, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2792/1964849

European Disaster Resilience Goals - European Commission : https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/european-disaster-risk-management/european-disaster-resilience-goals_en

Joint White Paper For European Defence Readiness 2030

Murray, R. (2024). How a new global defense bank—the ‘Defense, Security, and Resilience Bank’—can solve US and allied funding problems. Atlantic Council, 13 December 2024, https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/how-a-new-global-defense-bank-can-solve-us-and-allied-funding-problems/

NATO. (2022). Strategic Concept. Brussels.

Roepke, W.-D., & Thankey, H. (2019, February 27). Resilience is the first line of defense. NATO Review. https://www.nato.int/docu/review/uk/articles/2019/02/27/stjkst-persha-lnya-oboroni/index.html