The impact of modern and emerging disruptive technologies on the development of crisis management

Marina Črnko

University of Applied Sciences Velika Gorica

Zvonko Orehovec

University of Applied Sciences Velika Gorica

Jacqueline Domjanić

Dr. Franjo Tuđman Defense and Security University

Keywords: Emerging Disruptive Technologies (EDTs), Robotics and autonomous systems, Next-gen communications, Quantum technologies, Novel materials


Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of modern and emerging disruptive technologies (EDTs) on the development of crisis management in the domains of safety, security, and defense. According to relevant EU and NATO definitions, EDTs are technologies that generate radical changes in the concepts and conduct of security and defense activities. Key examples include quantum technologies, artificial intelligence (AI), robotics and autonomous systems, advanced communication technologies and big data analytics, advanced and novel materials, biotechnology, hypersonic weapons, and space technologies. Contemporary threats and rapid technological innovation are creating significant gaps in existing security and defense doctrines. The use of drones, autonomous systems, and long-range weapons is fundamentally changing the way operations are conducted. In addition, natural and anthropogenic disasters can produce consequences comparable to those of weapons of mass destruction. Traditional, human-centric approaches to crisis management show clear limitations in extreme environments, highlighting the need for the integration of advanced technologies. In such environments, autonomous systems offer significant advantages, including reduced risk to personnel, increased speed and accuracy of decision-making, and the ability to operate in hazardous and inaccessible areas. AI enables multifunctional applications and supports the execution of more complex tasks. The development of next-generation communication systems (5G/6G, satellite systems, and quantum communications) enhances interoperability, enables real-time data exchange, and improves the overall efficiency of crisis management. Advanced materials further enhance system performance by reducing mass and increasing resilience and versatility. Quantum technologies, in particular, represent a highly disruptive factor with the potential to transform the security environment and provide strategic advantage. The integration of EDTs is essential for adapting to contemporary threats and ensuring effective crisis management. However, their use must comply with legal, ethical, and operational standards. Successful integration and implementation require a systematic approach, international cooperation, and the development of new doctrines to ensure safety, interoperability, and technological advantage.